Research on Language Distribution Prediction Based on ARIMA Model
		
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		DOI: 10.25236/mmmce.2019.150
		
			Author(s)
			Yaling Ma, Hui Li, Zhexi Liu, Xia Wu
		 
		
			
Corresponding Author
			Yaling Ma		
		
			
Abstract
			order to predict language distribution in the next 50 years, we use the phenomena of immigrations among different continents to describe the changes of geographic distribution. We analysis changes of language distribution of a specific language only through the immigration status of countries whose native language ranks top ten. We assess the immigration data, and use two formulas to calculate net immigration rate and total immigration rate, then we use the ARIMA model to predict the corresponding rate of change in 50 years. Using the assessed distribution status of top ten languages in 2017, we will analysis changes in language geographic distribution in the future.		
		
			
Keywords
			IMA, time series, language distribution