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Web of Proceedings - Francis Academic Press

Research on Forecasting Methods of Carbon Trading Price

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DOI: 10.25236/ermbfe.2019.025


Lingyan Zhu

Corresponding Author

Lingyan Zhu


The Global Carbon Market Progress 2019 released by International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP) in March 2019 shows that since the launch of the EU carbon market in 2005, new systems have been established one after another and the share of global emissions covered by the carbon emissions trading system has doubled. With the steady advancement of carbon trading pilots in seven provinces and cities and the acceleration of national unified carbon market construction, China is about to usher in a comprehensive carbon-constrained era. The greenhouse gas emission rights represented by carbon dioxide have become a scarce commodity with financial value. Carbon emissions trading is also considered to be one of the most effective market economy instruments. Cost and price are the key indicators of carbon trading market. Research on carbon trading price will continue to stimulate technological innovation and market innovation of enterprises and inject new low-carbon power into economic growth.


Carbon trading; Price forecast; Markov model