Author(s)

Juanjuan Song

Corresponding Author

Juanjuan Song

Abstract

First of all, give full consideration to various uncertain factors, reasonably determine the peak load value in 2030, by judging near the critical value of models and number of samples, minimizing the probability of wrongful convictions, to get the best solution: add outfit type one unit 3, type 2 units 3, type 3 unit 2 sets, type four units 1. Secondly, using linear programming, this paper puts forward according to various possible situations in practice. The improved inspection method makes the benefit higher. According to the subsection method and weight comparison method, 3 sets of unit type 1, 0 sets of unit type 2, 3 sets of unit type 3 and 1 set of unit type 4 are obtained. Finally, according to enumeration methods and statistical concepts, when the average value is taken, LOLP is 0.000384 and EENS is. When the median value is taken, LOLP is 0.001249 and EENS is. The second question USES the linear programming, obtains adds the type 3 sets, other types 0 sets.

Keywords

Linear Programming; Lingo The Enumeration Method; Statistical