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Web of Proceedings - Francis Academic Press
Web of Proceedings - Francis Academic Press

Analysis and Prediction of Energy Utilization in California (CA), Arizona (AZ), New Mexico (NM), and Texas (TX)

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DOI: 10.25236/icemit.2019.042

Author(s)

Runhong Mao

Corresponding Author

Runhong Mao

Abstract

To describe the energy profiles of CA. AZ. NM. TX over 50 years, a classification statistics mode was established, which extracted 12 variables. To establish a comprehensive evaluation model of principal components for each state's energy situation, five most representative indicator variables based on 50 years' time series were selected. By comparing the weight of the five indicators for each state, we get the conclusion that AZ was the optimal use of renewable energy, and the industry prospects of CA and TX were higher than those in AZ and NM. In line with the analysis given by the government website, the model was valid. Considering the use of renewable energy as the main objectives, we substituted the data of 2009 to calculate the score. The score showed that CA was the best use of clean renewable energy. As the changing law of energy use was an uncertain system, the GM (1, 1) model was used to predict future energy utilization trends in the four states. In terms of goals for energy compact, we consider the best predictive value of CA for renewable energy use, which is 12.14% and 13.68% of the total renewable energy consumption for each state in 2025 and 2050. However, in a forecast point of view, it is harder to achieve the goal without policy intervention.

Keywords

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