Author(s)

Fangfang Han, Jing Shi

Corresponding Author

Jing Shi

Abstract

Akesu area is located in the south of the Tianshan Mountains in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, fragile ecosystems, land resources and the scarcity of water resources available, frequent environmental pollution and natural disasters of Akesu regional economic development is slow and restricts the development of the process of urbanization. In this paper, by using the ecological footprint theory, and using grey model to calculate the ecological footprint of Xinjiang 2008-2015 in Akesu over the years and the development trend is forecasted The results showed that: in 2008-2015 years, the per capita ecological footprint increased from 3.3879 hm2/ in 2008 to 5.588 hm2/ in 2015 over the same period; per capita decreased from 2.580646 hm2/ to 2.3792 hm2/ ecological carrying capacity, ecological deficit per capita increased from 0.807254 hm2/ in 2008 to 3.2088 hm2/ in 2015, a growing trend. At the same time according to the per capita ecological footprint research area of the 2017-2025 forecast and the per capita ecological carrying capacity, ecological deficit per capita in 2025 obtained the study area will be increased to 12.70542hm2, indicating that the current Akesu area in a sustainable development of the state and state of charge of the ultra negative ecological region called the local government departments to take effective measures to actively develop ecological. The economy and the construction of ecological civilization are in order to realize the coordinated development of resources, environment and the regional economy.

Keywords

The Aksu Region, Ecological Footprint, The Ecological Deficit, Grey Model.